Thread: Dubai's Lays
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18-02-2010 12:38 PM #1Pro Member
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Dubai's Lays
Hi guys,
Haven't been a member long (barely 2 days) but thought I'd crack on with an idea I've been working on. It's still very much in the investigation stages and I won't even be placing any money on these until at least 6 weeks has passed as I want to ensure it's not a backfitted creation.
It's a culmination of systems and relies on laying 2nd favourites only. It's very simple and quick to reference. I'll hold back on the full rules until a little interested is generated..
I'll be running two sets of results as I'm curious to see if the data will come out as past results suggest.
Selections can't be posted until around 5/10 mins before the off and I won't always be available so if enough people show interest, I can share the rules and hopefully people can continue to post the selections..
Hoping this thread has potential..we shall see.
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18-02-2010 01:03 PM #2Pro Member
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Re: Dubai's Lays
Kelso 2:10 Tichikita
Currently 2nd Fav. Needs to stay 2nd fav to be a clear selection. This is the pitfall of such a system but I'll try my best.
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18-02-2010 01:22 PM #3Pro Member
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Re: Dubai's Lays
Phew, got the nemesis first selection out the way and bagged for a win. I'll detail the staking plan a little later.
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18-02-2010 01:31 PM #4Pro Member
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Re: Dubai's Lays
Only other possible is at 3.45 Ffos Las. Pearl needs to be 2nd Fav to be a selection.
Back later.
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19-02-2010 06:35 AM #5Pro Member
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Re: Dubai's Lays
Ok, onto a little further explanation of staking etc. I will be following the method employed by Maria when she turned £3k into £100k within 1 year. I liked the staking plan and still use it to this day.
To summarise;
Prices below 3.5: lay to 1% of bank
Prices between 3.6-7.5: lay to 0.6% of bank
Prices between 7.6-11.0: lay to 0.4% of bank.
The rachet method will also be used. This applies to the new highest point of the bank. Stakes will not be dropped until 35% of the bank has been diminished. Hopefully it won't get to that stage but be prepared for anything!
You will see two sets of results for the following reasons. I have created a set of rules that excludes a certain number of tracks. At this stage, I am a little uncertain of this is just to suit back data or an actual viable filter. So results will appear as 'no filter' and 'filter'.
All results will be recorded to BSP and 5% commission assuming a £1,000 starting bank. As with all betting, patience and discipline will be key if this is to work.
I'm getting ahead of myself anyway, I'm not even sure these selections will be profitable long term, so we shall see.
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19-02-2010 06:42 AM #6Pro Member
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Re: Dubai's Lays
Day 1:
Kelso 2:10 Tichikita Lost
BSP 5.2
+£5.70 added to the bank.
Bank 'no filter': £1,005.70. New stakes: 1%: £10.05. 0.6%: £6.03. 0.4%: £4.02
Bank 'filter': £1,005.70. New stakes: 1%: £10.05. 0.6%: £6.03. 0.4%: £4.02
Strike Rate: 1/1 (100%)
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19-02-2010 07:57 AM #7Junior Member
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Re: Dubai's Lays
Hi Dubai, I'll follow this thread with interest, great start. Onwards and upwards!
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19-02-2010 12:54 PM #8Pro Member
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Re: Dubai's Lays
A couple of prospects today. Interestingly, there are no bets under the 'filter' so therefore the bank remains the same until tomorrow.
No filter bets:
2.45 Sandown: Shillingstone or Any Currency. Whichever is 2nd Fav will be the lay.
That's all for now.
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19-02-2010 01:12 PM #9Pro Member
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Re: Dubai's Lays
No lays at Sandown due to Heavy going.
A possible at Fakenham a little later.
So above is a NB.
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19-02-2010 01:34 PM #10Pro Member
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Re: Dubai's Lays
Done a final check and no possible bets today unfortunately.
Back tomorrow.
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